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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+2.83vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.11+4.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+0.46vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09-1.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04-2.31vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-3.18vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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6.84Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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4.46Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.62Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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3.69Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.82Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.15Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 18.8% | 56.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 18.3% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 16.1% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 17.2% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 16.1% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Joey Lark | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 28.9% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.