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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+1.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+0.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09-0.35vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93-2.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61-2.48vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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3.72Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.75Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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3.65Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 17.9% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.8% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 17.3% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 16.3% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 20.7% | 53.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 6.5% |
| Joey Lark | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 28.0% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.