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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Gage Schoenherr 17.9% 18.2% 16.7% 15.1% 13.4% 10.4% 6.5% 1.8%
Jack Murphy 15.8% 17.2% 15.0% 16.5% 14.1% 11.4% 8.0% 2.0%
Jack DeNatale 17.3% 13.7% 16.9% 13.9% 16.5% 12.5% 7.1% 2.1%
Spencer Cartwright 16.3% 18.2% 15.8% 14.5% 14.9% 12.2% 5.6% 2.5%
Aili Moffet 2.1% 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 3.8% 9.6% 20.7% 53.8%
Luke Ingalls 15.7% 14.4% 14.6% 17.8% 13.5% 12.8% 8.1% 3.1%
Samuel Merson 10.9% 11.2% 12.2% 13.9% 13.4% 15.9% 16.0% 6.5%
Joey Lark 4.0% 4.7% 4.9% 4.6% 10.4% 15.2% 28.0% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.