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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+2.61vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+1.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+0.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93-2.08vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.98-1.27vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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3.84Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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3.78Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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5.73Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 17.8% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 17.5% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 16.2% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Hibben | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 6.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 26.7% | 22.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.