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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+3.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+1.70vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+2.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04-0.19vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93-2.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01-3.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.7Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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5.6Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.81Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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3.92Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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3.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 16.1% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 25.6% | 20.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 16.4% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 58.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 15.9% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 19.1% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.