← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.96vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.08vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.98vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.4%1st Place
-
2.08SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
-
2.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
-
3.95SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 36.1% | 33.3% | 29.4% | 1.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.5% | 32.3% | 36.4% | 0.8% |
| Jake Vickers | 33.2% | 33.7% | 31.2% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.2% | 0.7% | 3.0% | 96.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.