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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.95vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.01vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.91vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.4%1st Place
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2.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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2.09SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.95SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 36.6% | 33.1% | 29.1% | 1.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 33.6% | 32.7% | 32.9% | 0.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 29.6% | 33.8% | 34.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.2% | 0.4% | 3.5% | 95.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.