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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+4.85vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.84+3.69vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.00+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+2.76vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-2.39vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.29+2.15vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.81vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.61-3.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.37-3.61vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-3.47vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.64-1.10vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.82-2.57vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-8.23vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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5.69Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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5.42College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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3.61Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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10.15Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.19SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.67Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy3.370.1%1st Place
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8.53Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.9Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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6.77University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.69Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kuschner | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 22.5% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 39.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.