← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University0.43+1.65vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College-0.02+0.55vs Predicted
-
3Unknown School-0.46+0.58vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.46-0.39vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.17-0.34vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute-1.37-1.09vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-2.27-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.65Columbia University0.4327.1%1st Place
-
2.55SUNY Maritime College-0.0229.7%1st Place
-
3.58Unknown School-0.4614.1%1st Place
-
3.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.4612.4%1st Place
-
4.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.178.0%1st Place
-
4.91Webb Institute-1.376.7%1st Place
-
6.05U. S. Military Academy-2.271.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eva DeCastro | 27.1% | 25.6% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
Jeremy Lunati | 29.7% | 25.1% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
Patrice Masterson | 14.1% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
Jeffrey Rhoads | 12.4% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
Alden Hughes | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 25.7% | 14.8% |
Rowan Whitmeyer | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 28.1% | 19.7% |
Sarra Salah | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.