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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.68+4.79vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+4.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.67+7.22vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.77+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.50+0.98vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.32+0.70vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.04+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.02+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.16-0.64vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.27-0.89vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.33-2.24vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.50-5.91vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-0.69-2.78vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.64-3.84vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-3.19vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-3.16-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Jacksonville University0.689.9%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida0.459.2%1st Place
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10.22Jacksonville University-0.672.9%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida0.7714.4%1st Place
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5.98University of Miami0.5010.5%1st Place
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6.7Jacksonville University0.328.9%1st Place
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7.82Rollins College-0.045.7%1st Place
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8.09University of Miami0.025.5%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida-0.166.2%1st Place
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9.11Embry-Riddle University-0.274.0%1st Place
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8.76Jacksonville University-0.334.6%1st Place
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6.09Rollins College0.5010.2%1st Place
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10.22University of Florida-0.692.6%1st Place
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10.16Florida Institute of Technology-0.643.1%1st Place
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11.81Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.9%1st Place
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15.27University of Central Florida-3.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Thran | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 2.5% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Jay | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Mattice | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Milo Fleming | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Beatriz Newland | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Mason Howell | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Annie Samis | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Justin Tribou | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 2.8% |
| Noah Scholtz | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 27.6% | 8.3% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.