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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+5.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+5.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+7.18vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.34vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+1.73vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.970.00vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+1.34vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.85-6.30vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.29vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.68-7.40vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.22-0.66vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.20-4.75vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Brown University2.7310.5%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.387.5%1st Place
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10.18Brown University1.863.9%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University2.489.7%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.393.3%1st Place
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9.0Boston College1.975.1%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College2.385.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Vermont1.052.5%1st Place
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5.7Yale University2.8512.8%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.3%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
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14.34Olin College of Engineering0.221.1%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College1.202.7%1st Place
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12.35Northeastern University1.072.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 43.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.