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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.77vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.16vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.35-0.54vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.4%1st Place
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1.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.4%1st Place
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2.46SUNY Maritime College2.350.2%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 43.9% | 35.9% | 19.3% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 38.7% | 39.6% | 20.9% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 17.2% | 23.5% | 55.0% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.2% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 94.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.