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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.00vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.92vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.4%1st Place
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2.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.3%1st Place
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2.08SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.98SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 36.7% | 33.1% | 29.8% | 0.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 33.6% | 32.9% | 33.4% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 29.6% | 33.8% | 36.0% | 0.6% |
| Adam Zeng | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 98.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.