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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+1.53vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+0.29vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-0.84vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-1.63vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.06-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22U. S. Naval Academy2.800.4%1st Place
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3.53George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.29Old Dominion University1.910.2%1st Place
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3.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.2%1st Place
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3.37Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.43Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 38.7% | 26.7% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.9% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 8.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 15.3% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 5.4% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 17.9% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 4.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 14.3% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 7.4% |
| Emily Key | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.