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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.12vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+4.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+0.86vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+3.05vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.05+5.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-0.66vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38-1.03vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-2.56vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.86-0.31vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20-0.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.73-6.00vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.11vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.71vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-4.06vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.19vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.227.4%1st Place
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7.9Boston College2.025.8%1st Place
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4.86Yale University2.7315.4%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College2.385.6%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont1.052.3%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University2.4810.2%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University2.689.8%1st Place
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9.69Brown University1.863.8%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College1.202.9%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.7311.2%1st Place
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14.11Olin College of Engineering0.220.8%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.6%1st Place
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10.94Boston University1.143.0%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.5%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 15.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 36.8% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 19.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.