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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.20vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+1.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.24vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.06+1.39vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.73-1.34vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2U. S. Naval Academy2.800.4%1st Place
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3.3Old Dominion University1.910.2%1st Place
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3.24Georgetown University1.960.2%1st Place
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5.39Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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3.66George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 38.0% | 28.0% | 18.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 16.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 7.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 15.7% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 4.9% |
| Emily Key | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 70.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 24.8% | 10.6% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 16.5% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.