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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+2.61vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+1.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.85vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-0.82vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-1.63vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.06-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.26Old Dominion University1.910.2%1st Place
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2.15U. S. Naval Academy2.800.4%1st Place
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3.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.2%1st Place
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3.37Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.43Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.8% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 25.7% | 8.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 15.7% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 19.3% | 6.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 39.7% | 25.5% | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 17.0% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 4.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 14.9% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 7.6% |
| Emily Key | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.