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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+2.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.14vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+0.20vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73-0.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.69vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.06-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.2%1st Place
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3.2Georgetown University1.960.2%1st Place
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3.54George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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2.31U. S. Naval Academy2.800.4%1st Place
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5.45Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 13.9% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 6.4% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 17.6% | 19.3% | 22.8% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 5.5% |
| Carly Broussard | 16.8% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 5.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 13.8% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 25.8% | 7.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 36.2% | 27.2% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Emily Key | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.