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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+2.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.15vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.73+0.40vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91-0.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.2%1st Place
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2.15U. S. Naval Academy2.800.4%1st Place
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3.4George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.19Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.15Georgetown University1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria Kevliciute | 17.8% | 18.0% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 22.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 38.0% | 27.9% | 19.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 12.6% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 24.0% | 28.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 15.0% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 23.3% | 23.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 16.6% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 22.9% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.