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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+2.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+0.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+0.41vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.11+1.17vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.78vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77-1.92vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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2.75Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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3.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.2%1st Place
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4.41University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.58Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 24.0% | 23.1% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 28.1% | 24.3% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 15.1% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 21.4% | 35.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 13.9% |
| Caroline King | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.