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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+2.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+0.77vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+1.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-1.17vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-0.33vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.11-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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2.77Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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5.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 23.5% | 23.1% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 28.5% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 16.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 11.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Caroline King | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 25.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 37.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.