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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+3.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.84vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.11+3.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89-0.94vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-2.23vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15-2.56vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.08Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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3.06Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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2.77Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 6.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 12.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.3% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 21.5% | 34.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 23.5% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 29.3% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Caroline King | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 24.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 11.7% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 8.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.