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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+1.98vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+1.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+1.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-2.24vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.14vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Brown University2.890.3%1st Place
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5.73Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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2.76Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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5.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.09Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 26.1% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Caroline King | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 25.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 13.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 27.3% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.