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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+3.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+1.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07-0.24vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.11+2.14vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.32vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77-1.01vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-1.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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3.09Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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2.76Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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6.14Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.74Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% |
| Olivia Belda | 22.9% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 28.7% | 22.9% | 19.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 34.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 21.3% | 15.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 12.7% |
| Caroline King | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 27.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 15.7% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.