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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+1.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.84vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+2.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+1.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-2.24vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15-2.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Brown University2.890.3%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.07Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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2.76Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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5.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.07Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 26.1% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 14.1% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Caroline King | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 23.0% | 23.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 13.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 27.5% | 24.7% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.