← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+6.75vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.73+2.78vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.38+5.23vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.38+2.98vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.68+1.43vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.73+0.08vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.02+0.83vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.22-0.87vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.42vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.86-0.29vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.20-0.14vs Predicted
-
12Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.08vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.48-6.78vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.14-3.24vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.07-3.14vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.08vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.05-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.75University of Rhode Island2.787.0%1st Place
-
4.78Yale University2.7315.8%1st Place
-
8.23Bowdoin College2.385.8%1st Place
-
6.98Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
-
6.43Roger Williams University2.689.4%1st Place
-
6.08Brown University2.739.8%1st Place
-
7.83Boston College2.026.3%1st Place
-
7.13Tufts University2.227.9%1st Place
-
9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.0%1st Place
-
9.71Brown University1.863.4%1st Place
-
10.86Connecticut College1.203.1%1st Place
-
14.08Olin College of Engineering0.220.7%1st Place
-
6.22Harvard University2.489.6%1st Place
-
10.76Boston University1.142.9%1st Place
-
11.86Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
-
12.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.6%1st Place
-
11.96University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 15.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| James Jagielski | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 37.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 20.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.