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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+3.28vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.11+4.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+0.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-2.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77-1.03vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-1.28vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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3.05Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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2.79Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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4.97Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.72Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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5.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 36.2% |
| Olivia Belda | 24.1% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 26.5% | 26.7% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 7.8% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.2% |
| Caroline King | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 25.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.