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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+3.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+1.08vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.11+3.11vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-2.23vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39-0.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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3.08Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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6.11Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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2.77Boston College3.070.3%1st Place
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5.65Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.2%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 10.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 22.6% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 21.8% | 35.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 16.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 28.2% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Caroline King | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 25.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 15.9% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.