Race 1A

saisa-coed-2021

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Brown 23.4% 21.4% 18.0% 18.5% 9.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 32.1% 23.2% 17.0% 12.6% 7.2% 6.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Harris 10.7% 12.2% 14.3% 14.8% 14.4% 15.2% 9.6% 5.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 5.1% 7.1% 8.9% 12.4% 18.1% 18.6% 12.8% 7.5%
Marina Barzaghi 8.4% 9.5% 12.0% 11.5% 15.8% 12.6% 13.2% 9.3% 5.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Richard McCann 6.6% 9.3% 10.9% 11.6% 13.7% 14.7% 14.7% 9.6% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7%
Carly Orhan 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 6.7% 8.7% 14.7% 23.6% 32.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 10.4% 11.9% 13.0% 14.4% 16.3% 12.5% 11.4% 6.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Carrie Marshall 2.0% 3.0% 3.2% 2.3% 5.0% 6.4% 9.0% 16.1% 18.8% 19.7% 14.5%
Cole Woerner 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 2.6% 2.8% 5.0% 5.8% 9.7% 13.4% 22.4% 34.6%
Mitchell Quinn 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 8.9% 13.4% 14.8% 18.0% 16.1% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.