Race 2A

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Scott Harris 9.6% 13.9% 13.9% 16.8% 14.4% 14.6% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 29.7% 23.8% 19.4% 13.5% 7.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 3.0% 2.4% 5.0% 4.7% 7.2% 9.2% 13.4% 17.4% 18.1% 13.1% 6.5%
Richard McCann 6.2% 7.4% 9.5% 12.6% 15.4% 15.0% 14.1% 9.9% 7.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Carrie Marshall 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 5.5% 7.1% 10.0% 15.2% 17.3% 19.0% 14.5%
Marina Barzaghi 7.7% 10.2% 10.6% 10.8% 16.0% 15.1% 13.0% 9.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
Mateo Rodriguez 10.6% 11.7% 15.8% 14.5% 14.2% 12.0% 11.0% 5.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Mitchell Quinn 2.8% 2.1% 3.0% 4.6% 6.1% 8.4% 12.1% 17.1% 17.3% 16.6% 9.9%
Cole Woerner 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 5.5% 9.2% 14.1% 22.6% 36.3%
Jack Brown 26.3% 23.1% 17.9% 13.6% 8.2% 6.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Carly Orhan 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 2.5% 2.8% 4.9% 6.5% 10.0% 16.4% 22.1% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.