Race 3A

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Brown 23.6% 21.7% 18.3% 15.7% 11.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Marina Barzaghi 9.1% 9.4% 10.8% 11.6% 15.1% 14.7% 12.6% 9.8% 4.7% 2.0% 0.2%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 27.4% 24.7% 18.9% 12.4% 9.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Harris 11.4% 12.5% 12.5% 15.3% 16.6% 14.2% 8.7% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Gregory Walters 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 6.5% 7.3% 9.9% 13.4% 15.6% 17.9% 13.5% 5.8%
Richard McCann 7.6% 8.8% 9.9% 11.7% 12.9% 16.4% 13.5% 8.6% 6.3% 3.6% 0.7%
Cole Woerner 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 3.3% 6.5% 10.6% 14.2% 21.0% 34.6%
Mateo Rodriguez 11.4% 11.5% 15.0% 14.0% 13.3% 13.1% 11.4% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Mitchell Quinn 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 4.7% 7.9% 11.3% 17.2% 17.3% 17.6% 11.6%
Carrie Marshall 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 11.4% 13.9% 19.0% 19.0% 13.5%
Carly Orhan 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 3.2% 2.0% 4.4% 6.4% 11.8% 14.1% 21.5% 33.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.