Race 4A

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 28.4% 24.0% 18.0% 15.5% 8.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Harris 12.3% 13.4% 15.2% 14.5% 14.2% 13.6% 9.3% 5.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Gregory Walters 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 4.9% 6.9% 8.0% 14.2% 16.9% 17.3% 14.3% 6.9%
Marina Barzaghi 7.8% 7.9% 10.2% 12.9% 15.5% 15.4% 13.1% 9.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.5%
Jack Brown 23.9% 22.1% 20.6% 12.8% 9.0% 7.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 10.1% 12.8% 11.8% 12.9% 16.1% 14.5% 10.1% 6.8% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Cole Woerner 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 4.1% 5.6% 10.1% 15.2% 21.5% 33.8%
Carly Orhan 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 6.5% 10.3% 14.1% 22.1% 34.7%
Richard McCann 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 13.8% 12.2% 15.1% 13.1% 10.4% 5.8% 3.0% 0.8%
Mitchell Quinn 2.3% 2.1% 3.7% 4.9% 7.3% 8.1% 12.2% 13.8% 18.7% 16.9% 10.0%
Carrie Marshall 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 4.9% 7.1% 11.8% 14.3% 19.0% 18.4% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.