Race 5A

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Brown 23.3% 22.7% 18.9% 14.7% 10.2% 6.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Harris 12.0% 12.6% 16.2% 15.3% 15.6% 10.7% 8.4% 6.3% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 28.3% 25.6% 17.6% 12.6% 8.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 10.2% 9.7% 11.2% 15.9% 15.1% 14.6% 12.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Marina Barzaghi 8.7% 9.8% 11.2% 11.7% 14.7% 14.5% 12.7% 8.7% 5.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Gregory Walters 2.7% 2.8% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 11.8% 13.2% 15.8% 17.0% 14.2% 6.4%
Richard McCann 8.6% 10.5% 9.9% 12.7% 14.4% 13.6% 13.1% 9.6% 4.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Carrie Marshall 2.5% 1.1% 3.1% 3.1% 5.3% 8.4% 12.3% 14.2% 17.9% 17.8% 14.3%
Mitchell Quinn 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 5.4% 6.2% 12.5% 15.6% 19.6% 17.3% 11.3%
Carly Orhan 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 6.0% 11.2% 14.1% 19.9% 35.8%
Cole Woerner 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 5.1% 5.5% 10.7% 14.6% 24.6% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.