Race 6A

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Brown 24.2% 21.0% 19.4% 17.1% 10.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 10.2% 13.0% 13.9% 14.9% 15.4% 11.5% 10.7% 6.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Marina Barzaghi 8.3% 8.6% 10.3% 13.1% 14.5% 15.1% 14.3% 9.7% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Scott Harris 11.6% 12.7% 13.8% 15.9% 15.4% 14.2% 8.1% 6.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 30.1% 25.3% 18.8% 10.8% 8.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard McCann 6.8% 9.9% 10.1% 11.9% 15.9% 14.5% 14.6% 9.0% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3%
Theodore Goldenberg 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 5.8% 9.0% 15.0% 17.7% 25.2% 15.8%
Gregory Walters 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 8.9% 12.0% 15.8% 15.2% 17.7% 9.9% 3.6%
Mitchell Quinn 2.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.3% 3.9% 10.1% 12.4% 18.3% 19.3% 15.5% 7.6%
Samantha Bialek 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.8% 6.3% 12.0% 19.1% 51.1%
Carly Orhan 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 4.4% 7.2% 12.4% 18.4% 26.3% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.