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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+2.01vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.07+1.26vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43-2.35vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.58+3.78vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.38-2.63vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University0.84-0.57vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07-0.09vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-1.54vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.11-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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4.2North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.05University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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2.65Jacksonville University3.430.3%1st Place
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9.78Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.37Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.43Embry-Riddle University0.840.0%1st Place
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8.91Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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8.46Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.88The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 23.9% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Richard McCann | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 31.3% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 51.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Quinn | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 14.2% | 5.6% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 27.3% | 24.6% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 25.1% | 15.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.