Race 8A

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Brown 23.5% 22.4% 19.1% 14.8% 11.4% 5.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 9.4% 8.7% 11.2% 12.7% 14.5% 16.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Scott Harris 11.8% 12.5% 13.4% 16.0% 14.2% 14.1% 9.6% 6.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 28.7% 24.1% 18.1% 14.0% 8.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mitchell Quinn 2.2% 3.5% 3.0% 4.4% 5.8% 8.9% 13.5% 16.7% 20.5% 15.2% 6.3%
Richard McCann 7.8% 8.2% 11.5% 11.0% 13.9% 17.2% 12.5% 9.5% 5.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Samantha Bialek 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 6.8% 10.8% 19.9% 50.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 10.8% 12.8% 14.8% 13.7% 15.8% 11.7% 11.4% 5.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 3.1% 3.8% 4.4% 5.3% 6.6% 11.1% 15.5% 19.3% 16.2% 10.5% 4.2%
Carly Orhan 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.6% 3.7% 3.2% 8.2% 10.0% 17.5% 26.4% 24.4%
Theodore Goldenberg 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 3.9% 3.4% 5.7% 8.8% 15.3% 20.4% 23.8% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.