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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+4.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+2.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.21+5.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.74+2.53vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+1.94vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.32+2.00vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.74-0.52vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.81+1.68vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.30+2.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.67-3.13vs Predicted
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11Amherst College2.01-1.99vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.26-3.58vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.75-6.25vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.82-1.51vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.67-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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4.04Boston College3.550.2%1st Place
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8.25Boston University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.48Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.68University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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11.26Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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6.87Connecticut College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.01Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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8.42Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.49Northeastern University0.820.0%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Burd | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Mullins | 20.4% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Hunter Mumma | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ian Paice | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Neal Drake | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| Max Rollins | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Black | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| David Pierce | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| James Altreuter | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wood | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 42.5% |
| Nick Waldo | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.