Race 10A

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Richard McCann 6.2% 8.2% 10.6% 12.4% 16.5% 16.1% 13.3% 10.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 29.6% 25.7% 19.1% 12.1% 7.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Harris 10.9% 11.9% 16.3% 15.2% 14.5% 14.9% 9.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 7.2% 9.6% 10.4% 15.0% 14.7% 15.3% 13.5% 7.9% 4.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Jack Brown 25.3% 23.8% 18.3% 12.7% 10.4% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 10.6% 11.1% 14.5% 15.3% 14.7% 12.7% 10.0% 6.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Gregory Walters 4.1% 3.5% 4.1% 6.8% 8.3% 10.9% 15.9% 16.3% 16.6% 10.6% 2.9%
Theodore Goldenberg 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 3.0% 3.3% 5.9% 9.6% 14.4% 18.4% 23.8% 17.2%
Mitchell Quinn 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 8.4% 12.2% 20.1% 19.3% 14.8% 7.6%
Samantha Bialek 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 4.1% 6.1% 12.5% 19.1% 50.8%
Carly Orhan 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 2.6% 3.1% 5.1% 7.2% 11.8% 18.4% 27.3% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.