Race 1B

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paris Henken 34.5% 25.2% 19.4% 12.0% 5.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Telmo Basterra 19.0% 21.0% 19.2% 15.3% 12.1% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 13.4% 15.5% 17.0% 15.9% 17.7% 11.3% 7.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 10.2% 12.1% 14.7% 17.4% 16.8% 13.2% 9.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Maggie Royal 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 5.4% 7.8% 13.2% 15.6% 17.7% 15.8% 10.7% 3.8%
Adam Larson 11.8% 14.2% 14.6% 18.1% 16.0% 11.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Garrett Cook 2.5% 3.4% 3.1% 3.4% 6.6% 11.6% 15.5% 19.0% 16.1% 11.9% 6.9%
Kurban Ali 2.7% 2.4% 4.0% 5.7% 7.3% 15.3% 15.9% 16.1% 15.9% 10.4% 4.3%
Jack Rachek 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 2.8% 2.1% 3.4% 5.9% 11.2% 14.6% 21.1% 35.9%
Robert Turner 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 4.9% 5.5% 9.8% 14.4% 19.1% 23.0% 16.1%
William Ciniski 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 3.1% 4.0% 8.5% 11.2% 13.9% 22.5% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.