Race 2B

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Robert Turigliatto 12.6% 16.8% 15.7% 19.7% 16.3% 11.1% 5.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Paris Henken 35.9% 24.7% 18.9% 11.3% 6.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Turner 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 3.9% 4.9% 10.0% 12.9% 19.5% 22.4% 19.6%
Garrett Cook 1.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 9.9% 14.9% 19.6% 16.6% 15.2% 7.7%
Telmo Basterra 17.7% 20.1% 18.7% 18.6% 11.6% 7.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Larson 12.3% 12.5% 17.5% 17.0% 14.6% 14.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Kurban Ali 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 9.6% 12.3% 17.8% 17.5% 15.5% 8.4% 4.3%
Jack Rachek 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 5.1% 8.2% 10.7% 16.0% 22.6% 30.6%
Kathryn Bornarth 10.9% 13.1% 14.6% 14.8% 17.9% 14.5% 8.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
William Ciniski 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.6% 7.6% 10.9% 14.5% 21.2% 34.1%
Maggie Royal 3.0% 2.9% 4.5% 5.0% 9.8% 13.4% 17.1% 16.8% 14.5% 9.5% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.