Race 3B

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paris Henken 33.2% 25.6% 19.8% 13.9% 5.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 21.1% 21.0% 19.4% 15.9% 12.8% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Rachek 1.2% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 3.1% 4.0% 9.8% 9.9% 15.8% 21.4% 31.7%
Kurban Ali 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 8.3% 15.0% 16.4% 19.8% 15.0% 9.4% 3.7%
Robert Turigliatto 15.1% 15.8% 17.0% 18.4% 13.7% 12.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Larson 10.5% 14.9% 15.6% 17.5% 19.9% 10.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Garrett Cook 2.3% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 6.7% 15.0% 17.6% 18.4% 14.3% 9.5% 5.5%
Kathryn Bornarth 11.9% 12.0% 15.6% 17.3% 18.7% 12.9% 8.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 7.0% 12.3% 15.8% 18.9% 19.7% 14.6%
William Ciniski 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.7% 3.3% 6.0% 8.0% 13.0% 14.5% 20.2% 31.2%
Robert Turner 0.8% 1.1% 2.6% 2.8% 4.5% 8.9% 12.9% 14.9% 19.2% 19.1% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.