Race 4B

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paris Henken 34.4% 26.9% 18.0% 12.3% 6.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 10.9% 12.6% 15.7% 18.8% 15.8% 14.6% 7.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 13.7% 15.4% 18.1% 17.9% 15.9% 11.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 19.1% 20.1% 19.3% 18.2% 13.5% 6.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Larson 13.2% 13.8% 16.1% 15.1% 18.0% 12.8% 5.9% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Turner 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.0% 4.0% 7.3% 11.3% 15.9% 18.5% 18.4% 17.3%
Kurban Ali 3.1% 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 9.0% 17.2% 17.2% 16.3% 14.2% 7.4% 3.2%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 4.3% 8.8% 14.8% 14.5% 16.9% 18.7% 15.1%
Garrett Cook 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 6.2% 11.1% 18.3% 18.6% 16.2% 11.8% 6.1%
William Ciniski 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 8.5% 11.3% 15.1% 21.3% 31.4%
Jack Rachek 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.9% 3.7% 4.6% 8.8% 12.6% 17.0% 22.1% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.