Race 5B

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paris Henken 35.5% 24.8% 18.9% 12.9% 6.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 20.8% 21.9% 20.5% 15.7% 10.1% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 13.5% 15.5% 17.9% 17.1% 17.9% 11.1% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Bornarth 10.4% 12.8% 12.4% 18.8% 19.2% 13.2% 8.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Larson 11.2% 15.3% 15.7% 17.4% 16.9% 13.3% 5.5% 4.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Kurban Ali 2.4% 2.3% 4.4% 5.1% 8.2% 14.2% 18.7% 16.0% 14.4% 10.0% 4.3%
Garrett Cook 2.4% 3.3% 3.6% 3.3% 6.9% 14.5% 17.0% 17.3% 16.2% 10.3% 5.2%
Robert Turner 1.6% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 7.9% 13.4% 16.1% 18.0% 17.5% 16.0%
Kyle Meyhoefer 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 3.9% 6.5% 11.4% 17.0% 18.0% 18.8% 16.5%
Jack Rachek 0.5% 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 5.4% 7.9% 12.6% 15.5% 20.0% 30.1%
William Ciniski 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 3.3% 4.9% 9.3% 11.4% 16.1% 22.8% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.