Race 6B

saisa-coed-2021

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kathryn Bornarth 10.1% 11.5% 15.5% 17.0% 17.9% 13.8% 8.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Turigliatto 14.4% 17.2% 17.3% 16.1% 16.8% 9.8% 6.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Garrett Cook 2.3% 2.0% 3.1% 4.3% 5.7% 8.8% 14.3% 17.2% 19.1% 14.1% 9.1%
Adam Larson 11.3% 12.2% 15.1% 18.9% 16.4% 12.8% 7.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Paris Henken 35.6% 25.9% 17.3% 10.7% 6.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Telmo Basterra 17.3% 21.5% 20.2% 15.5% 11.1% 9.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Maggie Royal 3.3% 3.1% 4.1% 5.9% 8.7% 13.0% 16.6% 17.3% 14.1% 9.3% 4.6%
Robert Turner 1.4% 1.8% 1.3% 2.5% 4.2% 6.3% 10.0% 14.5% 16.8% 20.9% 20.3%
Kurban Ali 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.3% 7.0% 12.0% 18.0% 16.3% 16.0% 11.5% 5.6%
Jack Rachek 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 5.1% 6.6% 10.2% 13.8% 19.0% 38.0%
Connor Teague 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 2.7% 3.2% 6.1% 8.3% 13.1% 16.7% 24.2% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.