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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+3.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+4.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+8.95vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.22vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+2.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-0.79vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.73-1.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-1.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.20+0.75vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.02-3.20vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-1.13vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.86-3.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-2.08vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-2.99vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-6.73vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Yale University2.7315.2%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University2.228.2%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island2.786.4%1st Place
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12.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.3%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University2.6810.5%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.489.7%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.7310.7%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College2.387.7%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
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7.8Boston College2.025.8%1st Place
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10.87Boston University1.142.6%1st Place
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9.67Brown University1.864.0%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.6%1st Place
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13.93Olin College of Engineering0.221.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| James Jagielski | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.