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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.94+2.78vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+0.18vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.85+1.80vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.20+1.88vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.46-3.03vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.34+0.96vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-1.47vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.40-2.36vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.75-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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2.18College of Charleston3.090.4%1st Place
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3.74North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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6.88Clemson University0.200.0%1st Place
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2.97Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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7.96The Citadel-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.53Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.64Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.52Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Bornarth | 13.7% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Paris Henken | 37.4% | 30.1% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 13.8% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Garrett Cook | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 10.7% |
| Telmo Basterra | 21.7% | 23.9% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Turner | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 23.4% | 26.5% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 7.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 8.2% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.