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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+3.21vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.13+2.90vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.33+1.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+0.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-1.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.04+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.91-1.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.07-3.15vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.73-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.31Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.2%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.59Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Riley Read | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| John Walton | 15.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 17.7% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 39.6% |
| Henry Lee | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 7.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.