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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+3.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+2.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+0.13vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.73+0.43vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.07-1.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.04+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.91-2.79vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.13-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Roger Williams University2.330.2%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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5.43Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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4.7Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 15.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 12.4% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Michael Pinto | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 13.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 41.4% |
| Henry Lee | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 11.6% |
| Riley Read | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.