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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+4.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.13+2.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.07+0.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-0.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33-1.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.04+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-3.76vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.91-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.2%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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4.24Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.2% |
| Riley Read | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 16.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% |
| John Walton | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 40.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Henry Lee | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.