← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Cronin 8.5% 7.4% 10.0% 8.2% 9.6% 13.1% 13.2% 14.8% 15.2%
Riley Read 8.7% 12.2% 12.0% 10.0% 13.1% 13.6% 12.3% 11.7% 6.4%
Nathan Olmsted 16.7% 13.3% 15.4% 12.4% 13.5% 9.5% 8.9% 7.1% 3.2%
Connor Sheridan 11.0% 12.9% 11.8% 12.4% 12.7% 11.8% 9.7% 10.6% 7.1%
Michael Pinto 11.2% 11.5% 12.0% 11.8% 10.2% 9.9% 12.0% 11.8% 9.6%
John Walton 14.6% 14.5% 12.8% 13.9% 13.3% 10.7% 9.9% 6.1% 4.2%
Matthew Galbraith 4.3% 3.6% 3.3% 5.7% 7.1% 8.0% 10.7% 16.5% 40.8%
Parker Colantuono 15.3% 14.1% 13.6% 14.0% 10.5% 11.4% 10.1% 6.5% 4.5%
Henry Lee 9.7% 10.5% 9.1% 11.6% 10.0% 12.0% 13.2% 14.9% 9.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.