Race 4A

uri-spring-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Cronin 8.4% 6.7% 10.0% 9.1% 8.7% 12.9% 14.0% 15.4% 14.8%
John Walton 10.8% 14.0% 15.0% 11.7% 14.5% 11.8% 10.0% 8.3% 3.9%
Riley Read 12.0% 11.2% 11.2% 13.0% 12.2% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 6.4%
Henry Lee 9.1% 10.3% 11.6% 11.7% 12.4% 11.5% 10.4% 12.7% 10.3%
Nathan Olmsted 18.4% 17.4% 13.9% 10.9% 11.2% 9.7% 8.4% 6.4% 3.7%
Michael Pinto 10.4% 10.7% 9.3% 13.2% 11.0% 13.0% 12.5% 11.4% 8.5%
Matthew Galbraith 4.4% 3.3% 3.8% 5.4% 6.0% 8.4% 10.7% 16.8% 41.2%
Connor Sheridan 11.6% 11.1% 12.5% 11.6% 10.9% 10.4% 12.9% 11.6% 7.4%
Parker Colantuono 14.9% 15.3% 12.7% 13.4% 13.1% 10.3% 9.1% 7.4% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.