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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+3.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+2.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.07+1.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+1.00vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.73+0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-1.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13-2.27vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.04-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.91-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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4.9Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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4.73Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Michael Pinto | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 16.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Riley Read | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 40.2% |
| Henry Lee | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.