← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.33+3.31vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.13+2.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.36+1.30vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.07+0.78vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-0.08vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.73-0.42vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.91-1.77vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.04-1.05vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.31Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.91Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
-
4.3University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
4.78Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
-
4.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
-
5.58Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.95Tufts University1.040.0%1st Place
-
4.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Riley Read | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 14.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Connor Sheridan | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Michael Pinto | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| Henry Lee | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.6% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 41.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 17.1% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.